Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Promotion League

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Leichtathletik Stadion St. jakob (Basel)


	Basel II		Rapperswil-Jona

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.55
	2	3.88	3.16
	2.03	3.93	3.16	Watch
	2.03	3.7	2.98
	2.27	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.4)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	2.89 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel II
43.6%

Draw
24.7%

Rapperswil-Jona
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

22.9%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel II's performance.

Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rapperswil-Jona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Basel II - Rapperswil Jona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Emch C. (G) 4. Ismaili E. 23. Selmonaj J. 5. Schweizer Y. 19. Schreiber L. 29. Xhemalija D. 20. Casadei A. 6. Uruejoma M. (C) 11. Sow C. 9. Akale A. 16. Ze J.	18. Omerovic A. (G) 23. Pousa R. 28. Ambassa J. 5. Ajeti Ad. 3. Morgado B. 6. Yesilcayir E. (C) 66. Marchand Y. 8. Saliji R. 19. Nguy-yi N. 11. Wiskemann M. 27. Volkart D.
Substitutes
17. Bashaj S. 10. Frokaj L. 18. Hoch B. (G) 34. Izunwanne M. 22. Jordan E. 25. Rexhaj A. 7. Streit N.	1. Grob M. (G) 21. Iapichino D. 15. Napfer T. 12. Ressurreicao L. 70. Schmidt H. 96. So S. 7. Tia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Marchand Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Ze J. ↓, Rexhaj A. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Wiskemann M. ⚽,
61', 0 - 2, Wiskemann M. ⚽,
67', Marchand Y. ↓, Napfer T. ↑,
67', Xhemalija D. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
67', Akale A. ↓, Izunwanne M. ↑,
67', Sow C. ↓, Streit N. ↑,
72', Volkart D. ↓, So S. ↑,
79', Streit N. (Pen),
80', Ismaili E. ↓, Jordan E. ↑,
80', Nguy-yi N. ↓, Tia E. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Napfer T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basel II won 3.

Basel II is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rapperswil is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Basel II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Basel II have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Basel II won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:13 (average 1.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Basel II won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
04.12.24	Young Boys II - Basel II	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Basel II - Zurich II	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Biel-Bienne - Basel II	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Breitenrain Bern - Basel II	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Lugano II - Basel II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWW
- FC Rapperswil-Jona
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Thun - Rapperswil-Jona	2:2 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
09.11.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Cham	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Grand-Saconnex - Rapperswil-Jona	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Luzern II	3:3 ✺
23.10.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Kriens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
09.03.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Basel II	3:0
02.09.23	Basel II - Rapperswil-Jona	3:2
15.04.23	Basel II - Rapperswil-Jona	1:2
08.10.22	Rapperswil-Jona - Basel II	2:3
12.06.21	Rapperswil-Jona - Basel II	1:2
24.08.19	Rapperswil-Jona - Basel II	0:0
27.05.17	Basel II - Rapperswil-Jona	3:0

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