Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 25 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur)

Referee: Bogar G. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay


	Breiðablik		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.73
	4.9	3.9	1.67
	4.33	3.8	1.76
	4.64	3.89	1.74
	4.2	3.5	1.67
	4.45	3.88	1.74
	4.5	4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (6.17)	3.83 ↑ (3.68)	1.73 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
21%

Draw
24.5%

Copenhagen
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

25.6%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

26.8%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breiðablik's performance.

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breiðablik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Copenhagen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17%	1.9%	81.1%

Breiðablik - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (43 of 53 users predict this - 81.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.6% – 91.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. A. (G) 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 4. Muminovic D. 21. Margeirsson V. O. 30. Yeoman A. R. 6. Sigurdarson A. H. 3. Sigurjonsson O. 11. Eyjolfsson G. 14. Svanthorsson J. D. 10. Steindorsson K. 8. Einarsson V. K.	1. Grabara K. (G) 19. Jelert E. 3. Vavro D. 27. Lund V. 2. Diks K. 12. Lerager L. 36. Clem W. 33. Falk R. (C) 40. Bardghji R. 25. Larsson J. 9. Goncalves D.
Substitutes
5. Adalsteinsson A. S. 16. Arnarsson A. S. 12. Bragason B. A. (G) 19. Gunnarsson A. T. 22. Hlynsson A. 25. Ingvarsson D. 13. Ludviksson A. L. 20. Olsen K. 26. Orrason A. H. 28. Stefansson O. 15. Thorsteinsson A. O.	30. Achouri E. 22. Ankersen P. 41. Dithmer A. (G) 8. Johannesson I. B. 29. Karamoko M. 17. Mukairu P. 18. Oskarsson O. 21. Sander T. (G) 6. Sorensen C.
Coaches
Thorvaldsson O.	Neestrup J.

Preview

1st leg.

Breiðablik in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Copenhagen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Breiðablik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Copenhagen is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Breiðablik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Breiðablik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.07.23	Breiðablik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Breiðablik - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
14.07.23	Fram - Breiðablik	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Shamrock Rovers - Breiðablik	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
07.07.23	Breiðablik - Fylkir	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWWW
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
22.07.23	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Copenhagen	3:2 ✺
11.07.23	Copenhagen - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
05.07.23	Copenhagen - Silkeborg IF	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
04.06.23	Copenhagen - Randers FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Atlantic Cup
11.02.22	Breiðablik - Copenhagen	3:4
10.02.14	Copenhagen - Breiðablik	2:0

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