Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Laugardalsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Breiðablik		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.18	3.45	3.05
	2.27	3.6	3.22
	2.2	3.54	3.16	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.19	3.64	3.35
	2.16	3.5	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.67)	3.52 ↓ (3.83)	3.15 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
43%

Draw
26.9%

Shamrock Rovers
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

24.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Breiðablik's form might have worsened.

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamrock Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Breiðablik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Breiðablik - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Breiðablik will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 30. Yeoman A. 44. Muminovic D. 21. Margeirsson V. 18. Ingvarsson D. 8. Einarsson V. 6. Jonsson A. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 9. Omarsson O. 15. Thorsteinsson A. 11. Bjarnason A.	1. McGinty E. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 27. O'Sullivan C. 21. Grant D. 7. Watts D. 17. Healy M. 36. Ozhianvuna V. 10. Burke G. 20. Gaffney R.
Substitutes
39. Agustsson B. 32. Bjorgvinsson K. 31. Gunnleifsson G. 29. Hallsson G. 19. Jonsson K. 23. Kristinsson K. 99. Magnusson G. 33. Snaeholm G. (G) 10. Steindorsson K. 77. Thomsen T. 45. Ulfarsson T. 17. Valgeirsson V.	22. Barrett C. 18. Clarke T. 9. Greene A. 11. Kavanagh S. 38. Kovalevskis M. 23. Malley C. 3. Matthews A. 88. McGovern J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 15. Nugent D. 25. Steacy L. (G)
Coaches
Skulason O.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Burke G. ⚽, Healy M. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Margeirsson V. ⚽, Omarsson O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Grace L. ↓, Kovalevskis M. ↑,
68', Grant D. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
70', Jonsson A. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Omarsson O. ⚽, Einarsson V. (A),
75', Bjarnason A. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
84', Watts D. ↓, Malley C. ↑,
84', Ozhianvuna V. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
85', Thorsteinsson A. 🟨,
88', Thorsteinsson A. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
88', Yeoman A. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Jonsson K. ⚽,
90+5', Omarsson O. ↓, Magnusson G. ↑,
90+5', Einarsson V. ↓, Steindorsson K. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Laugardalsvöllur.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Shamrock has had a series of home games.

Breiðablik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Shamrock: Mandroiu D. (Injury) McEneff A. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Breiðablik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Breiðablik - Samsunspor	2:2 ✺
06.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Breiðablik	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.10.25	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Breiðablik - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.10.25	Breiðablik - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTL
- Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
09.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Cork City	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	AEK Athens - Shamrock Rovers	1:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Shamrock Rovers - Galway United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Breiðablik - Shamrock Rovers	2:1
11.07.23	Shamrock Rovers - Breiðablik	0:1

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