Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur)

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport


	Breiðablik		Tikveš

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	8
	1.32	5.25	7.25
	1.33	5	8
	1.34	5.5	8.41
	1.35	5.41	7.23
	1.35	4.8	6.5
	1.35	5.3	7.43	Watch
	1.35	5.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.54)	5.18 ↑ (4.29)	7.5 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
69.6%

Draw
18%

Tikveš
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

21.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breiðablik's performance.

Tikveš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tikveš might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breiðablik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tikveš could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

Breiðablik - Tikveš Predictions

Users Predictions: Breiðablik will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 30. Yeoman A. 4. Muminovic D. 21. Margeirsson V. 19. Jonsson K. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 6. Sigurdarson A. 8. Einarsson V. 11. Bjarnason A. 10. Steindorsson K. 22. Thorvaldsson I.	1. Tasev S. (G) 21. Varelovski A. (C) 4. Stoimenovski O. 5. Mojsov D. 3. Manevski M. 88. Spirkoski B. 77. Robertinho 7. Spahiu E. 24. Stojkoski K. 10. Stojanov M. 13. Vitao
Substitutes
5. Adalsteinsson A. 12. Bragason B. (G) 16. Fjeldsted D. 25. Gunnarsson T. 9. Johannesen P. 24. Jonsson A. 23. Kristinsson K. 2. Obbekjaer D. 26. Palsson K. M. 3. Sigurjonsson O. 55. Simonarson J. S. (G) 20. Stokke B.	6. Cubara A. 12. Dimovski S. (G) 9. Gjorgjiev G. 33. Leo Guerra 18. Manasievski D. 22. Mihailov F. 14. Petkovski S. 11. Petrovic M. 8. Tasev D. 20. Todorov M. 23. Todorov M.
Coaches
Arnason H.	Zdravkov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Spahiu E. ⚽, Vitao (A),
30', Manevski M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Steindorsson K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Gunnlaugsson H. ⚽, Bjarnason A. (A),
55', Spirkoski B. ↓, Todorov M. ↑,
55', Stojanov M. ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
60', Varelovski A. 🟨,
65', Spahiu E. ↓, Gjorgjiev G. ↑,
65', Robertinho ↓, Manasievski D. ↑,
69', Einarsson V. 🟨,
75', Steindorsson K. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
75', Sigurdarson A. ↓, Johannesen P. ↑,
83', Thorvaldsson I. ↓, Stokke B. ↑,
83', Jonsson K. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Kristinsson K. ⚽, Johannesen P. (A),
89', Stojkoski K. ↓, Cubara A. ↑,
90+3', Johannesen P. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.

Recent matches Breiðablik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tikveš is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tikveš could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Breiðablik is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Breiðablik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Tikveš - Breiðablik	3:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.24	Vestri - Breiðablik	2:2 ✺
28.06.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Breiðablik - Akraness	1:1 ✺
19.06.24	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTW
- GFK Tikveš
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Tikveš - Breiðablik	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.24	Llapi - Tikveš	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Struga - Tikveš	3:4 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
22.05.24	Tikveš - Voska Sport	2:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
18.05.24	Vardar - Tikveš	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Tikveš - Breiðablik	3:2

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