Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje)

Referee: Muller J. (Lux)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2


	Tikveš		Breiðablik

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.7	3.3	2.14
	3.51	3.21	2.13	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.99)	3.21 ↓ (3.37)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tikveš
27.1%

Draw
28.9%

Breiðablik
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.7%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

29.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tikveš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	9.5%	66.7%

Tikveš - Breiðablik Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Tikveš will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Breiðablik will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breiðablik: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tasev S. (G) 21. Varelovski A. (C) 5. Mojsov D. 4. Stoimenovski O. 3. Manevski M. 20. Todorov M. 77. Robertinho 7. Spahiu E. 24. Stojkoski K. 10. Stojanov M. 9. Gjorgjiev G.	1. Einarsson A. (G) 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 4. Muminovic D. 21. Margeirsson V. 30. Yeoman A. 24. Jonsson A. 3. Sigurjonsson O. 8. Einarsson V. 11. Bjarnason A. 22. Thorvaldsson I. 23. Kristinsson K.
Substitutes
6. Cubara A. 12. Dimovski S. (G) 55. George Pitbull 33. Leo Guerra 18. Manasievski D. 22. Mihailov F. 14. Petkovski S. 11. Petrovic M. 88. Spirkoski B. 8. Tasev D. 23. Todorov M. 13. Vitao	5. Adalsteinsson A. 12. Bragason B. (G) 16. Fjeldsted D. 25. Gunnarsson T. 9. Johannesen P. 19. Jonsson K. 2. Obbekjaer D. 6. Sigurdarson A. 55. Simonarson J. S. (G) 10. Steindorsson K. 20. Stokke B.
Coaches
Mojsov G.	Arnason H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Einarsson V. ⚽, Thorvaldsson I. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Kristinsson K. ⚽, Thorvaldsson I. (A),
33', Einarsson V. 🟨,
45+1', Mojsov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Todorov M. ↓, Spirkoski B. ↑,
46', Stoimenovski O. ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
46', Gjorgjiev G. ↓, Vitao ↑,
58', Stojanov M. 🟨,
62', Kristinsson K. ↓, Johannesen P. ↑,
62', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Sigurdarson A. ↑,
62', Yeoman A. ↓, Steindorsson K. ↑,
66', Robertinho ↓, Manasievski D. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Stojkoski K. ⚽, Spahiu E. (A),
76', Vitao 🟨,
77', Spirkoski B. 🟨,
78', Manevski M. ↓, Mihailov F. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Stojanov M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Leo Guerra ⚽,
86', Stojkoski K. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - National Arena Toshe Proeski.

Tikveš is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Breiðablik is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Breiðablik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Breiðablik will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GFK Tikveš
Club Friendly
27.06.24	Llapi - Tikveš	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Struga - Tikveš	3:4 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
22.05.24	Tikveš - Voska Sport	2:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
18.05.24	Vardar - Tikveš	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Tikveš - Voska Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWTT
- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.24	Vestri - Breiðablik	2:2 ✺
28.06.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Breiðablik - Akraness	1:1 ✺
19.06.24	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	HK Kópavogur - Breiðablik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTWW

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