Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Breno		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.25
	2.23	3.58	2.74	Watch
	2.09	3.24	3.19
	2.08	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.22)	3.31 ↓ (3.53)	3.11 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breno
43.2%

Draw
27.5%

Real Calepina
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

25.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+2%)

Breno - Real Calepina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Valsecchi P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breno won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Breno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Breno might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Breno won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Breno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.11.25	Sondrio - Breno	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Breno - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Folgore Caratese - Breno	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Breno	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Breno - Scanzorosciate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.11.25	Milan Futuro - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Calepina - Oltrepo	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Real Calepina - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Chievo - Real Calepina	3:3 ✺
26.10.25	Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
08.01.23	Real Calepina - Breno	1:1
04.09.22	Breno - Real Calepina	1:1
23.04.22	Breno - Real Calepina	1:2
08.12.21	Real Calepina - Breno	0:1
18.04.21	Real Calepina - Breno	1:0
10.02.21	Breno - Real Calepina	0:0

Breno - Real Calepina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide