Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Brentwood Town		Cray Valley Paper Mills

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	3.85
	1.6	4.5	4.13
	1.7	4.26	3.79	Watch
	1.65	3.9	3.8
	1.68	3.92	4
	1.66	4.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	4.1 ↓ (4.19)	3.93 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentwood Town
54.6%

Draw
22.2%

Cray Valley Paper Mills
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

21.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

18.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentwood Town than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brentwood Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Brentwood Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Aileru K. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ogunleye D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 2 - 1, Kymani T. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Johnson L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Brentwood is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cray Valley PM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brentwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brentwood is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brentwood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentwood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Brentwood: 2.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Brentwood	9	3	0	6	15:16	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentwood Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.02.26	Chatham Town - Brentwood Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dartford - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Brentwood Town - Dulwich Hamlet	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Billericay Town - Brentwood Town	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Brentwood Town - Cray Wanderers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL
- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.01.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Cheshunt	3:3 ✺
24.01.26	Aveley - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Potters Bar Town	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	St Albans City - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	Cray Wanderers - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Brentwood Town	1:3
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Brentwood Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	4:3
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Brentwood Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1

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