Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Aveley		Cray Valley Paper Mills

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.95	4.45
	1.58	4.18	4.6
	1.56	4.39	4.56	Watch
	1.57	3.75	4.5
	1.51	4.25	4.91
	1.58	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	4.12 ↑ (4.05)	4.59 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
58.1%

Draw
22.1%

Cray Valley Paper Mills
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

21.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Aveley - Cray Valley Paper Mills Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Nwabueze J. ⚽,
5', 2 - 0, Aromolaran T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 3 - 0, Muldoon O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Aveley is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cray Valley PM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cray Valley PM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aveley is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Aveley will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aveley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.01.26	Aveley - Welling United	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Dartford - Aveley	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Cray Wanderers - Aveley	0:3 ✺
06.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Aveley	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Aveley - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW
- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Potters Bar Town	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	St Albans City - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	Cray Wanderers - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Whitehawk	0:2 ✺
16.12.25	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Aveley	1:4

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