Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport Calcio


	Brescia		Treviso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.40	4.80
	1.56	3.30	5.50	Watch
	1.70	3.60	6.10
	1.62	3.45	5.56	Watch
	1.68	3.15	6.00
	1.68	3.43	5.46	Watch
	1.60	3.50	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.49)	3.4 ↓ (3.7)	5.55 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
56.3%

Draw
27.1%

Treviso
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.6%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

23.4%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Brescia - Treviso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Zacchi G. (G) 95. Sina S. 4. Sorensen F. 28. Silvestri L. 15. Casasola T. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 6. Mercati A. 20. Zennaro M. (C) 18. De Maria V. 9. Crespi V. 30. Pellegrini J.	30. Nobile T. (G) 8. Cappelletti D. 13. Maestrelli A. 5. Bove D. 17. Paganini L. 10. Ciuferri F. 27. Gucher R. (C) 25. Romeo F. 94. Liotti D. 7. Brevi T. 29. Gerbi E.
Substitutes
72. Armanini F. 82. Armati L. 8. Balestrero D. 24. Boci B. 26. Frigerio M. R. 44. Guglielmotti D. 1. Liverani L. (G) 12. Mbengue S. H. (G) 5. Pasini N. 3. Rizzo A. 91. Spagnoli A.	1. Bisetto R. (G) 2. Brigati A. 21. Ceccacci M. 44. Guiyong F. 22. Leonardelli P. (G) 76. Lombardi A. 11. Mellino C. 78. Ndulue D. 91. Odogwu R. 4. Rossi G. 9. Tommasini C. 14. Vimercati A.
Coaches
Corini E.	Gorini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Romeo F. 🟨,
38', Crespi V. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Brevi T. ⚽, Cappelletti D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gerbi E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
46', Silvestri L. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Zennaro M. ⚽,
64', Paganini L. ↓, Brigati A. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽, Crespi V. (A),
73', Gucher R. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
73', Ciuferri F. ↓, Tommasini C. ↑,
74', Casasola T. ↓, Armati L. ↑,
74', Crespi V. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
82', Pellegrini J. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
82', De Maria V. ↓, Guglielmotti D. ↑,
90+3', Liotti D. ↓, Ndulue D. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Maestrelli A. ⚽, Rossi G. (A),

Preview

Brescia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Treviso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Brescia is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Brescia will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.26	Trento - Brescia	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Brescia - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Brescia - Giana Erminio	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.26	Pergolettese - Brescia	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Brescia - Carpi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWW
- Treviso
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.26	Treviso - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Alcione - Treviso	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Treviso - Lecco	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Trento - Treviso	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Treviso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLL

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