Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 13

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kavumba Recreation Centre (Wakiso)


	Bright Stars		UPDF

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.95	3.25
	2.34	2.76	3.04
	2.33	2.92	3.16	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.27	3.02	3.08
	2.22	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	3.16 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bright Stars
39.9%

Draw
31.4%

UPDF
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bright Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bright Stars than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kamya S. (G) 10. Bunjo N. 4. Buule W. 7. Kakande S. 2. Kato N. 6. Kitimbo I. 19. Mulindi A. 26. Mustapha K. 18. Nsereko S. 22. Oketcho P. 11. Senkatuka N. (C)	1. Luka A. (G) 7. Faridi R. 8. Janjali J. 14. Kabuye B. 15. Kalule S. 17. Kamagu C. 6. Mudde M. 22. Mugisa F. 4. Muwanga B. (C) 21. Ochen E. 23. Ssekamatte S.
Substitutes
21. Atari K. 3. Badoni A. 20. Fiat C. 29. Kato F. 16. Kaziro J. 9. Kiiza D. 5. Kyambadde A. 15. Mukisa J. 12. Odongo J. 23. Okwalinga M. 24. Were E. (G)	. Farid 20. Kalumba B. 13. Kawooya E. 19. Kibalama S. (G) 9. Kitara D. 2. Ssekulima D. 3. Tebandeke C. 10. Zzinda H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Buule W. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Mulindi A. ⚽,
45', Mustapha K. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 1, Ssekamatte S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Janjali J. ↓, Kawooya E. ↑,
67', Mudde M. ↓, Faridi R. ↑,
74', Kabuye B. ↓, Kalumba B. ↑,
79', Bunjo N. ↓, Fiat C. ↑,
79', Kakande S. ↓, Atari K. ↑,
86', Kamagu C. ↓, Zzinda H. ↑,
86', Senkatuka N. ↓, Kiiza D. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bright Stars won 1.

Bright Stars is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches UPDF is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bright Stars will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bright Stars won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bright Stars won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bright Stars FC
Ugandan Super League
11.12.24	NEC FC - Bright Stars	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Bright Stars - Vipers	1:2 ✺
28.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bright Stars	1:0 ✺
21.11.24	Bright Stars - Maroons	0:1 ✺
08.11.24	Bright Stars - Kitara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
11.12.24	UPDF - Mbale Heroes	1:1 ✺
04.12.24	Bul - UPDF	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	UPDF - Police	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Kitara - UPDF	4:0 ✺
06.11.24	UPDF - Mbarara City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
22.12.23	Bright Stars - UPDF	2:1
20.03.23	UPDF - Bright Stars	1:0
19.10.22	Bright Stars - UPDF	1:1
26.03.22	Bright Stars - UPDF	0:0
05.12.21	UPDF - Bright Stars	2:1
19.02.21	Bright Stars - UPDF	3:0
22.12.17	UPDF - Bright Stars	2:1

Bright Stars - UPDF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide