Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mehta Stadium (Kampala)


	Uganda Revenue Authority SC		Bright Stars

	1	X	2
	1.35	3.95	8.5
	1.39	3.99	8.37	Watch
	1.45	3.4	7.5
	1.44	3.86	7.83
	1.35	3.95	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	3.83 ↑ (3.3)	8.14 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uganda Revenue Authority SC
65.1%

Draw
23.7%

Bright Stars
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

27.6%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

26.5%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uganda Revenue Authority SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uganda Revenue Authority SC's performance.

Bright Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bright Stars than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Bright Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. URA SC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bright Stars will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Otim D. (G) 9. Ahimbisibwe Ivan 7. Aliro M. 2. Begisa J. 15. Lubwama J. 4. Namanya N. 17. Ssemujju J. 10. Tibiita L. 24. Vuni B. 5. Walusimbi E. (C) 22. Wamannah I.	25. Kamya S. (G) 8. Alou J. 10. Bunjo N. 4. Buule W. 20. Fiat C. 16. Kaziro J. 6. Kitimbo I. 5. Kyambadde A. (C) 13. Mandera A. 22. Oketcho P. 11. Senkatuka N.
Substitutes
30. Bunyaga B. 8. Kabonge N. 26. Kisolo J. 27. Masembe G. 13. Matovu F. 19. Ochan D. (G) 11. Olimi N. 18. Tusubira A.	21. Atari K. 3. Badoni A. 7. Kakande S. 29. Kato F. K. 2. Kato N. 15. Mukisa J. 17. Mulabi S. (G) 28. Mustapha K. 18. Nsereko S. 23. Okwalinga M. 24. Were E. D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ssemujju J. ⚽,
31', Ahimbisibwe Ivan ↓, Bunyaga B. ↑,
39', 2 - 0, Bunyaga B. ⚽,
42', Walusimbi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Aliro M. ⚽,
59', Begisa J. ↓, Tusubira A. ↑,
64', Fiat C. ↓, Mustapha K. ↑,
64', Oketcho P. ↓, Kakande S. ↑,
64', Alou J. ↓, Okwalinga M. ↑,
73', 🟨,
75', Ssemujju J. ↓, Olimi N. ↑,
75', Tibiita L. ↓, Kabonge N. ↑,
75', Namanya N. ↓, Masembe G. ↑,
86', Bunjo N. ↓, Mukisa J. ↑,
86', Mandera A. ↓, Atari K. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches URA SC won 3.

Recent matches URA SC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bright Stars is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match URA SC is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches URA SC won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:7 (average 1.1:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams URA SC won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uganda Revenue Authority SC
Ugandan Super League
04.04.25	Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbale Heroes	3:2 ✺
Ugandan Cup
19.03.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Kataka	1:2 penalties ✺
Ugandan Super League
14.03.25	Bul - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - UPDF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW
- Bright Stars FC
Ugandan Super League
03.04.25	Bright Stars - Police	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Kampala City Council - Bright Stars	5:0 ✺
14.03.25	Bright Stars - Villa	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Mbarara City - Bright Stars	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Bright Stars - Bul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
20.09.24	Bright Stars - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:1
28.09.23	Bright Stars - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	1:1
Club Friendly
11.08.23	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Bright Stars	2:1
Ugandan Super League
01.04.23	Bright Stars - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:2
26.10.22	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Bright Stars	2:2
07.05.22	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Bright Stars	3:1
01.02.22	Bright Stars - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:3

Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Bright Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide