Match Info

WSL - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: Soneye A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brighton & Hove Albion		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.5	5.25
	1.49	4.20	4.80
	1.44	4.25	5.3
	1.5	4.38	5.97
	1.56	4.25	5.13	Watch
	1.45	4.1	5.85
	1.43	4.35	5.68
	1.48	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.79)	4.3 ↑ (3.88)	5.4 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
61.8%

Draw
21.3%

Aston Villa
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.9%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brighton & Hove Albion's performance.

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nnadozie C. (G) 18. Hayes C. 6. George G. 2. Vanegas M. 19. Olislagers M. 11. Seike K. 8. Symonds M. (C) 13. Walti L. 35. Murphy E. 14. Kirby F. 9. Haley M.	23. Okuma A. (G) 14. Wilms L. 4. Patten A. (C) 3. Harviken M. 16. Maritz N. 19. Murphy L. 15. Parker L. 17. Grant C. 21. Kendall L. 20. Vangsgaard A. 13. Hijikata M.
Substitutes
23. Auee M. 10. Cankovic J. 21. Garcia O. 64. Gay E. 15. Joramo E. 28. Loeck M. (G) 27. Peskett S. 17. Rayner R. 20. Tvedten O.	24. Deslandes O. 40. Kelly S. (G) 5. Kielland J. 27. McAulay M. 18. Mullet G. 1. Ramsey E. (G) 33. Scott K. 25. Taylor M.
Coaches
Ruiz A.	Arroyo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Haley M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, George G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Murphy E. ↓, Tvedten O. ↑,
57', Olislagers M. ↓, Garcia O. ↑,
61', Parker L. ↓, Kielland J. ↑,
61', Murphy L. ↓, McAulay M. ↑,
70', Hijikata M. ↓, Mullet G. ↑,
70', Kendall L. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
70', Grant C. ↓, Deslandes O. ↑,
76', Kirby F. ↓, Cankovic J. ↑,
86', Maritz N. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Wilms L. ⚽,
90+2', George G. ↓, Rayner R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.

Aston Villa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Brighton & Hove for this game.

Confirmed absences for Brighton & Hove: Cankovic J. (Injury) Krezyman N. (Injury) Masaka A. (Knee Injury) Mpome M. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Aston Villa: Baijings J. (Knee Injury) Daly R. (Inactive) Ramsey E. (Leg Injury) Roebuck E. (Shoulder Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Aston Villa: Kearns M. (Knock).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton & Hove has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:26 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brighton & Hove against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 7:14 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Brighton W: 0.87% Aston Villa W: 0.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Brighton W	5	1	2	2	8:7	1	5
12	Aston Villa W	5	0	3	2	4:11	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion WFC
English WSL
13.09.26	Birmingham City LFC - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal LFC	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
21.08.26	Barcelona - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
31.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	0:4 ✺
English WSL
16.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Aston Villa LFC
English WSL
13.09.26	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Chelsea - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
21.08.26	OL Lyonnes - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
English WSL
16.05.26	London City Lionesses - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Aston Villa - Arsenal LFC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
11.01.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
07.09.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	0:0
10.05.25	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1
English FA Cup Women
08.02.25	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:2
English WSL
05.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	4:2
04.05.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	0:1
English League Cup Women
07.02.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	1:2 penalties

Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide