Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 10

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Spencer Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Brisbane City		Peninsula Power

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.8	2.08
	2.89	4.02	2.21
	2.78	4.16	2.13	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.05
	2.78	3.86	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.48)	3.89 ↑ (3.6)	2.11 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane City
32.9%

Draw
23.6%

Peninsula Power
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.4%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Peninsula Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peninsula Power's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peninsula Power, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brisbane City - Peninsula Power Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
71', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, ⚽,
82', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane City won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Peninsula Power will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Brisbane City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane City
Australian NPL Queensland
26.04.26	Brisbane City - Wynnum Wolves	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Brisbane City - Rochedale Rovers	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Brisbane City - Magic United	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Queensland Lions - Brisbane City	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Brisbane City - Olympic FC	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTTT
- Peninsula Power
Australian NPL Queensland
25.04.26	Peninsula Power - Queensland Lions	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Peninsula Power	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Peninsula Power - Rochedale Rovers	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Peninsula Power - Gold Coast United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
15.08.25	Peninsula Power - Brisbane City	1:0
03.05.25	Brisbane City - Peninsula Power	2:1
04.08.24	Peninsula Power - Brisbane City	1:0
28.04.24	Brisbane City - Peninsula Power	2:4
10.06.23	Brisbane City - Peninsula Power	1:1
04.03.23	Peninsula Power - Brisbane City	0:2
28.05.22	Brisbane City - Peninsula Power	2:2

Brisbane City - Peninsula Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide