Match Info
NPL Queensland - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 5 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: AJ Kelly Park (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Peninsula Power |
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Moreton City Excelsior |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.00 |
3.75 |
3.00 |
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 |
2.14 |
3.65 |
2.63 |
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 |
2.07 |
3.96 |
2.99 |
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 |
2.1 |
3.96 |
2.93 |
Watch |
 |
2.04 |
3.80 |
2.90 |
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 |
2.02 |
4.02 |
3.07 |
Watch |
 |
2.07 |
3.65 |
2.90 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.15) |
3.83 ↑
(3.65) |
2.92 ↑
(2.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Peninsula Power
44.5% | Draw
24% | Moreton City Excelsior
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peninsula Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Moreton City Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Moreton City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Joseph N. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Scott J. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 1, Joseph N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', 2 - 2, Walters M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', 3 - 2, Miyazawa H. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peninsula won 0.Peninsula is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Moreton City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Peninsula has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peninsula won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.7:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, Peninsula won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Queensland | | | 18.07.26 | Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power | 2:2 | | 18.04.26 | Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior | 1:4 | | 17.06.25 | Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior | 0:2 | | 10.05.25 | Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power | 3:3 | | 01.09.24 | Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power | 4:3 ET | | 10.08.24 | Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power | 1:3 | | 11.05.24 | Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior | 0:0 |
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