Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 22

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: AJ Kelly Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brisbane Roar U23		Gold Coast Knights

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.90	1.83
	3.4	3.85	1.78
	3.11	4.14	1.95
	3.31	4.2	1.89	Watch
	3	4.05	1.93
	3.21	3.88	1.88	Watch
	3.35	3.85	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.8)	3.98 ↓ (4.1)	1.86 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar U23
28%

Draw
22.9%

Gold Coast Knights
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

21.8%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

18.6%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Gold Coast Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gold Coast Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar U23 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Knights than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Brisbane Roar U23 - Gold Coast Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Brisbane Roar U23 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gold Coast Knights is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Gold Coast Knights has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gold Coast Knights is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar U23
Australian NPL Queensland
07.08.26	Queensland Lions - Brisbane Roar U23	4:2 ✺
02.08.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Moreton City Excelsior	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Olympic FC - Brisbane Roar U23	3:1 ✺
10.07.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Rochedale Rovers	4:1 ✺
05.07.26	Brisbane City - Brisbane Roar U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWLWT
- Gold Coast Knights
Australian NPL Queensland
08.08.26	Gold Coast Knights - Peninsula Power	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Gold Coast United - Gold Coast Knights	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Gold Coast Knights - Gold Coast United	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Gold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
10.05.26	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane Roar U23	3:2
19.07.25	Brisbane Roar U23 - Gold Coast Knights	1:1
09.07.25	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane Roar U23	0:1
27.07.24	Brisbane Roar U23 - Gold Coast Knights	0:1

Brisbane Roar U23 - Gold Coast Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide