Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Perry Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Brisbane Strikers		Holland Park Hawks

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.45	4.45
	1.52	4.67	4.52
	1.11	8.62	17.97	Watch
	1.5	4	4.5
	1.48	4.5	4.91
	1.53	4.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)	5.09 ↑ (4.3)	6.83 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Strikers
66.9%

Draw
18.9%

Holland Park Hawks
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

20.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Strikers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Strikers's performance.

Holland Park Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holland Park Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Strikers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Strikers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holland Park Hawks than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Brisbane Strikers - Holland Park Hawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: ) and 5).

Brisbane Strikers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holland Park Hawks's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Holland Park Hawks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brisbane Strikers is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Strikers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Brisbane Strikers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Strikers
Australian Queensland Premier League
08.05.26	Redlands United - Brisbane Strikers	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Brisbane Strikers - St. George Willawong	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Broadbeach United - Brisbane Strikers	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Brisbane Strikers - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Logan Lightning - Brisbane Strikers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWW
- Holland Park Hawks
Australian Queensland Premier League
09.05.26	Holland Park Hawks - Caboolture Sports	3:5 ✺
17.04.26	Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	North Star - Holland Park Hawks	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Holland Park Hawks - Ipswich FC	1:3 ✺
20.03.26	Redlands United - Holland Park Hawks	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
13.06.25	Brisbane Strikers - Holland Park Hawks	2:1
10.05.25	Holland Park Hawks - Brisbane Strikers	2:3

Brisbane Strikers - Holland Park Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide