Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 17

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Perry Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Brisbane Strikers		Logan Lightning

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	4.75
	1.47	4.55	4.75
	1.47	5.11	5.22
	1.5	5.08	4.83	Watch
	1.45	4.95	4.95
	1.54	4.92	4.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)	4.82 ↑ (4.25)	4.86 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Strikers
62%

Draw
19.1%

Logan Lightning
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

21.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

19.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Strikers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Logan Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Strikers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 🟥,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Strikers won 3.

Brisbane Strikers has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Logan Lightning has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brisbane Strikers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Logan Lightning has had a series of home games.

In this match, Brisbane Strikers is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Brisbane Strikers will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Strikers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Strikers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Strikers
Australian Queensland Premier League
26.06.26	Brisbane Strikers - Ipswich FC	1:0 ✺
19.06.26	Caboolture Sports - Brisbane Strikers	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Brisbane Strikers - Robina City	3:0 ✺
02.06.26	North Star - Brisbane Strikers	1:3 ✺
23.05.26	Brisbane Strikers - Capalaba	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Logan Lightning
Australian Queensland Premier League
30.06.26	Logan Lightning - Redlands United	5:1 ✺
27.06.26	Logan Lightning - Caboolture Sports	1:3 ✺
23.06.26	Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Robina City - Logan Lightning	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
28.03.26	Logan Lightning - Brisbane Strikers	2:4
30.08.25	Logan Lightning - Brisbane Strikers	1:0
03.05.25	Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning	4:1
20.07.24	Logan Lightning - Brisbane Strikers	3:2
20.04.24	Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning	4:1
Australian NPL Queensland
24.07.21	Logan Lightning - Brisbane Strikers	2:4
11.04.21	Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning	0:3

Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide