Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 16

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Cornubia Park (Logan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Logan Lightning		Caboolture Sports

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.60	2.40
	2.38	3.70	2.38
	2.50	3.95	2.37
	2.52	4.05	2.32	Watch
	2.45	3.90	2.30
	2.41	4.19	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2)	3.9 ↑ (3.8)	2.36 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Logan Lightning
37.7%

Draw
23.5%

Caboolture Sports
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

23.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

23.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Logan Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Logan Lightning's form might have worsened.

Caboolture Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caboolture Sports's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Logan Lightning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caboolture Sports than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caboolture Sports, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Logan Lightning - Caboolture Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Logan Lightning may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Caboolture has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Logan Lightning won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Logan Lightning won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Logan Lightning
Australian Queensland Premier League
23.06.26	Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Robina City - Logan Lightning	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	North Star - Logan Lightning	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	St. George Willawong - Logan Lightning	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWW
- Caboolture Sports
Australian Queensland Premier League
19.06.26	Caboolture Sports - Brisbane Strikers	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Caboolture Sports - Ipswich FC	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Caboolture Sports - Capalaba	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Robina City - Caboolture Sports	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Caboolture Sports - North Star	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
21.03.26	Caboolture Sports - Logan Lightning	2:2
07.06.25	Caboolture Sports - Logan Lightning	7:0
01.03.25	Logan Lightning - Caboolture Sports	2:2
08.06.24	Caboolture Sports - Logan Lightning	1:1

Logan Lightning - Caboolture Sports: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide