Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Brito		Pevidem

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (1.81)	3 ↓ (3.37)	2.67 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brito
34.8%

Draw
30.7%

Pevidem
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brito's form might have worsened.

Pevidem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pevidem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brito than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pevidem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brito - Pevidem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brito won 2.

Recent matches Brito is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pevidem is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brito will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Brito won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Brito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brito SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.02.25	Os Sandinenses - Brito	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Brito - Vianense	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Paredes - Brito	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Brito - Vila Real	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Limianos - Brito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWL
- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.02.25	Pevidem - Vianense	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Vila Real - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Pevidem - Joane	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bragança - Pevidem	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Pevidem - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.10.24	Pevidem - Brito	0:0
10.02.24	Pevidem - Brito	1:2
08.10.23	Brito - Pevidem	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Brito - Pevidem	0:3
17.12.22	Pevidem - Brito	0:1
07.03.21	Brito - Pevidem	1:2
06.12.20	Pevidem - Brito	4:2

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