Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Broń Radom		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.58
	2.48	3.22	2.52
	2.44	3.48	2.53	Watch
	2.45	3	2.5
	2.43	3.69	2.51	Watch
	3.18	3.69	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.18)	3.39 ↓ (3.69)	2.41 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
35.5%

Draw
26.8%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

24%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

23.4%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Broń Radom's performance.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia II Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Broń Radom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia II Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jagiellonia II will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Pieczarka E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 1 - 1, Ziarek A. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Ziarek A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 1.

Broń Radom is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jagiellonia II is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Broń Radom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Broń Radom won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Broń Radom - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 27.85%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Wigry Suwałki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Broń Radom - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Widzew Łódź II - Broń Radom	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:4 ✺
22.03.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:0
18.04.25	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3
22.09.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:0
24.11.23	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0
05.08.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:1
28.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	2:2
28.10.22	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1

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