Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Wisła Płock II		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.60	2.55
	2.18	3.75	2.52
	2.18	3.95	2.51
	2.19	4.01	2.58	Watch
	2.11	3.7	2.45
	2.17	3.75	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.15)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock II
41.2%

Draw
23.6%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

25.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Polkowski D. ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, Koscielecki M. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Chmielewski A. ⚽,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th and 7th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Wisła Płock II has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wisła Płock II against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.5:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Plock II	14	6	4	4	27:23	4	22
11	Jagiellonia II	14	4	5	5	25:26	-1	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łódź II	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wisła Płock II	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Wisła Płock II - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWLW
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łódź II	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	7:4 ✺
05.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Weszło - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:4
13.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wisła Płock II	1:1
01.03.25	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1
10.08.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wisła Płock II	2:3

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