Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 20

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Nikiforides Family Park (Gold Coast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Broadbeach United		Logan Lightning

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.10	4.50
	1.58	4.05	4.35
	1.61	4.36	4.55
	1.62	4.45	4.42	Watch
	1.59	4.25	4.35
	1.74	3.95	4.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.4)	4.19 ↓ (4.5)	4.39 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broadbeach United
57.1%

Draw
21.9%

Logan Lightning
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

19.9%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broadbeach United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Broadbeach United's form might have worsened.

Logan Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Broadbeach United than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Broadbeach United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Logan Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Broadbeach United - Logan Lightning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Broadbeach United is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs )

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Logan Lightning has had a series of home games.

In this match, Broadbeach United is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Broadbeach United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Broadbeach United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broadbeach United
Australian Queensland Premier League
18.07.26	Brisbane Strikers - Broadbeach United	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Broadbeach United - Caboolture Sports	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Robina City - Broadbeach United	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Broadbeach United - Capalaba	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	North Star - Broadbeach United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTWW
- Logan Lightning
Australian Queensland Premier League
18.07.26	Logan Lightning - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Logan Lightning - Ipswich FC	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Brisbane Strikers - Logan Lightning	3:2 ✺
30.06.26	Logan Lightning - Redlands United	5:1 ✺
27.06.26	Logan Lightning - Caboolture Sports	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
02.05.26	Logan Lightning - Broadbeach United	0:4
24.08.25	Logan Lightning - Broadbeach United	1:1
23.05.25	Broadbeach United - Logan Lightning	3:0
26.06.24	Logan Lightning - Broadbeach United	6:0

Broadbeach United - Logan Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide