Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Hayes Lane (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bromley		Chelsea U21

	1	X	2
	2	3.8	2.75
	1.98	3.5	3
	2.1	3.75	2.95
	2.13	3.81	3.01
	2.09	3.86	3.06	Watch
	2.09	3.78	3
	2.1	3.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.37)	3.75 ↓ (3.83)	2.96 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromley
44.4%

Draw
24.5%

Chelsea U21
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

23.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

23.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bromley's performance.

Chelsea U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bromley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Bromley - Chelsea U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bromley will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Chelsea U21 will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bromley: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Long S. (G) 5. Sowunmi O. 15. Foran T. (C) 30. Odutayo I. 22. Congreve C. 8. Leigh L. 4. Charles A. 23. Topalloj B. 11. Dennis L. 10. Dinanga M. 19. Amantchi L.	50. Merrick M. (G) 44. Hughes B. 63. Wilson K. 54. Akomeah T. 49. Olise R. 46. Matos A. 33. Dyer K. 62. Samuels-Smith I. 43. Vale H. (C) 57. McNeilly D. 76. Mheuka S.
Substitutes
20. Arthurs J. 38. Moralee F. 29. Olomola O. 37. Paul Lavaly N. 36. Penn G. 1. Smith G. (G) 44. Thomas J.	55. Ampah A. 56. Boniface S. 60. Crampton K. (G) 58. Morgan J. 51. Rak-Sakyi S. 61. Russel-Denny R. 52. Silcott-Duberry Z.
Coaches
Woodman A.	Coelho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, McNeilly D. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Amantchi L. ⚽,
22', Odutayo I. 🟨,
27', 1 - 2, Vale H. ⚽,
35', McNeilly D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dennis L. ↓, Arthurs J. ↑,
64', Leigh L. 🟨,
71', Dinanga M. ↓, Paul Lavaly N. ↑,
71', Leigh L. ↓, Olomola O. ↑,
71', Topalloj B. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
72', McNeilly D. ↓, Ampah A. ↑,
77', Mheuka S. ↓, Morgan J. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Vale H. ⚽, Hughes B. (A),
81', 2 - 3, Charles A. ⚽, Congreve C. (A),

Preview

Bromley is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chelsea U21 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Chelsea U21 have a series of home games.

Bromley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromley FC
English League Two
21.09.24	Grimsby Town - Bromley	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Bromley - Notts County	2:4 ✺
07.09.24	Colchester United - Bromley	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Bromley - Cambridge United	4:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
31.08.24	Bromley - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTWL
- Chelsea U21
English Premier League 2
21.09.24	Chelsea U21 - West Bromwich Albion U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
15.09.24	Chelsea U21 - Brentford U21	6:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
01.09.24	Middlesbrough U21 - Chelsea U21	1:3 ✺
23.08.24	Chelsea U21 - Everton U21	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Chelsea U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWTL

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