Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 25

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Grimsta IP (Stockholm)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Brommapojkarna		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.47	3.65	2.09
	3.37	3.50	2.08	Watch
	3.34	3.68	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.34)	3.57 ↓ (3.63)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brommapojkarna
27.7%

Draw
26.5%

Mjällby
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26.2%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

26.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brommapojkarna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Brommapojkarna - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mjällby will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Blazevic D. (G) 21. Timossi A. 3. Hovland E. (C) 5. Ngouali S. 6. Zanden O. 19. Irandust D. 24. Ackermann K. 20. Camara I. 11. Orqvist R. 31. Arrhov L. 23. Alladoh E.	1. Tornqvist N. (G) 14. Johansson H. 4. Noren A. 24. Pettersson T. 26. Charles U. 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 11. Stavitski T. 17. Stroud E. 19. Manneh A. 16. Johansson A.
Substitutes
39. Bahoui N. 4. Bjorkander E. 30. Bjorklund L. 37. Jarde O. 2. Karlsson H. 1. Lacayo J. (G) 14. Sever K. 28. Ssewankambo I. 8. Stroud A.	39. Arrhenius R. 18. Bergstrom J. 20. Isaksson M. 35. Lundin A. (G) 21. Petersson A. 3. Tchouante C. 6. Thorell L. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Kristiansson U.	Torstensson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Orqvist R. ↓, Ssewankambo I. ↑,
45+2', Camara I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Charles U. 🟥,
57', Stavitski T. ↓, Bergstrom J. ↑,
57', Johansson A. ↓, Tchouante C. ↑,
63', Camara I. ↓, Bjorklund L. ↑,
64', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Johansson H. ⚽, Gustafson V. (A),
80', Manneh A. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
82', Irandust D. ↓, Bahoui N. ↑,
82', Ngouali S. ↓, Sever K. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brommapojkarna won 2.

Recent performances by Brommapojkarna have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mjällby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brommapojkarna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mjällby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brommapojkarna: Karlsson H. (Inactive) Tahwildaran L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brommapojkarna: Barslund K. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Brommapojkarna won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brommapojkarna won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Brommapojkarna - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 28.49%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.09.25	IFK Göteborg - Brommapojkarna	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	AIK - Brommapojkarna	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	1:4 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.08.25	Brommapojkarna - Elfsborg	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Djurgården - Brommapojkarna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWL
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.25	Mjällby - Öster	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Degerfors - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mjällby - Halmstad	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	GAIS - Mjällby	0:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Onsala - Mjällby	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
19.05.25	Mjällby - Brommapojkarna	1:0
21.09.24	Brommapojkarna - Mjällby	0:0
04.05.24	Mjällby - Brommapojkarna	1:1
05.11.23	Mjällby - Brommapojkarna	1:2
24.04.23	Brommapojkarna - Mjällby	2:0
Swedish Superettan
22.09.19	Mjällby - Brommapojkarna	0:2
08.06.19	Brommapojkarna - Mjällby	1:1

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