Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 7

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2


	Degerfors		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.05
	3.7	3.3	2
	3.35	3.25	2.12
	3.67	3.39	2.18
	3.49	3.25	2.18	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.48	3.24	2.12	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.26)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.11 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
26.9%

Draw
28.8%

Mjällby
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

28.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Degerfors - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Igonen M. (G) 6. Sundgren D. (C) 16. Ohlsson S. 15. Moro N. 18. Diatara S. 4. Karlsson K. 22. Girmai N. 13. Yiriyon G. 10. Rafferty M. 20. Barsoum E. 14. Fritzson L.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 5. Iqbal A. 24. Pettersson T. 14. Granath V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 6. Thorell L. 17. Stroud E. 10. Kjaer J. 18. Bergstrom J. 19. Manneh A.
Substitutes
21. Berisson A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 24. Leonardsson O. 12. Lindell E. 5. Pikkarainen J. 27. Salifu Z. 17. Taranis A. 11. Vukojevic D.	15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 7. Gustafson V. 8. Helge T. 35. Lundin A. (G) 4. Noren A. 23. Samuelsen A. 11. Stavitski T. 2. Svanberg L. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Goitom H.	Aksum K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Kjaer J. ⚽, Thorell L. (A),
25', Pettersson T. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Pettersson T. ⚽, Iqbal A. (A),
37', 0 - 3, Manneh A. ⚽, Miettinen T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barsoum E. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,
51', 1 - 3, Moro N. ⚽, Sundgren D. (A),
57', Kjaer J. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
67', Pettersson T. ↓, Noren A. ↑,
67', Granath V. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
67', Yiriyon G. ↓, Lindell E. ↑,
67', Girmai N. ↓, Leonardsson O. ↑,
72', Karlsson K. 🟨,
80', Karlsson K. ↓, Salifu Z. ↑,
82', Manneh A. ↓, Bang-Kittilsen B. ↑,
82', Thorell L. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
84', 1 - 4, Stroud E. ⚽, Gustavsson J. (A),
89', Ohlsson S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
90+2', Gustafson V. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 0.

Degerfors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mjällby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mjällby might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Degerfors: Diaby M. (Inactive) Hussein B. (Inactive) Jakobsson W. (Inactive) Pikkarainen J. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Mjallby	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22
14	Degerfors	22	5	4	13	19:34	-15	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.05.26	Degerfors - Häcken	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Örgryte - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Degerfors - AIK	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Halmstad - Degerfors	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWLW
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.05.26	Malmö - Mjällby	2:3 ✺
27.04.26	Mjällby - Halmstad	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	GAIS - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mjällby - Brommapojkarna	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mjällby - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.25	Degerfors - Mjällby	0:1
27.04.25	Mjällby - Degerfors	4:1
12.11.23	Degerfors - Mjällby	1:2
16.04.23	Mjällby - Degerfors	2:0
10.09.22	Degerfors - Mjällby	0:0
23.07.22	Mjällby - Degerfors	2:1
28.08.21	Degerfors - Mjällby	0:2

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