Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 21 March 2023, Tuesday


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Rushden & Diamonds

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	5.75
	1.48	3.9	4.8
	1.52	4.2	4.7
	1.52	4.84	4.88
	1.46	4.4	5.75
	1.42	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)	4.31 ↑ (4.15)	5.31 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
61.8%

Draw
21.1%

Rushden & Diamonds
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

21.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

19.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Rushden & Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bromsgrove Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushden & Diamonds than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rushden & Diamonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bromsgrove Sporting - Rushden & Diamonds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bromsgrove won 2.

Recent matches Bromsgrove is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rushden & Diamonds is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bromsgrove could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bromsgrove is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bromsgrove won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bromsgrove won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
18.03.23	Leiston - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:2 ✺
11.03.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Coalville Town	0:4 ✺
07.03.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Ilkeston	2:3 ✺
28.02.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stratford Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds
English Southern League Central Division
18.03.23	Redditch United - Rushden & Diamonds	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Mickleover Sports	1:4 ✺
25.02.23	Nuneaton Town - Rushden & Diamonds	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.23	Needham Market - Rushden & Diamonds	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
29.10.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1
16.04.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1
28.08.21	Bromsgrove Sporting - Rushden & Diamonds	2:1
10.10.20	Bromsgrove Sporting - Rushden & Diamonds	1:0
21.12.19	Bromsgrove Sporting - Rushden & Diamonds	0:0
05.10.19	Rushden & Diamonds - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:8

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