Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday


	Needham Market		Rushden & Diamonds

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.25
	1.38	4.2	5.6
	1.3	5	7.4
	1.4	4.72	6.69
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.38	4.7	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	4.58 ↑ (4.26)	6.44 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
66.1%

Draw
19.8%

Rushden & Diamonds
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

21%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

12.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Rushden & Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Needham Market that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushden & Diamonds than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rushden & Diamonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Needham Market - Rushden & Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Needham will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Rushden & Diamonds will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Needham won 1.

Recent matches Needham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rushden & Diamonds has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Needham have a series of guest games.

In this match Needham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Needham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Needham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
11.02.23	Mickleover Sports - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Needham Market - Kings Langley	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Needham Market - Alvechurch	0:3 ✺
28.01.23	Royston Town - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds
English Southern League Central Division
11.02.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Barwell	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Coalville Town - Rushden & Diamonds	3:0 ✺
28.01.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Stratford Town	0:2 ✺
07.01.23	Ilkeston - Rushden & Diamonds	3:1 ✺
02.01.23	Rushden & Diamonds - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.08.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Needham Market	0:0
18.01.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Needham Market	2:0
14.09.21	Needham Market - Rushden & Diamonds	2:2
14.03.20	Needham Market - Rushden & Diamonds	Canceled
28.01.20	Rushden & Diamonds - Needham Market	1:2
16.03.19	Rushden & Diamonds - Needham Market	2:1
06.10.18	Needham Market - Rushden & Diamonds	1:5

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