Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Felipe V. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Brown de Adrogué		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.7	2.9
	2.65	2.75	2.8
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.85	2.76	3.01
	2.85	2.74	3.01
	2.7	2.8	2.8
	2.68	2.86	2.76
	2.65	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.72)	2.78 ↑ (2.77)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
33.9%

Draw
33.6%

Deportivo Morón
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

33.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

34%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Deportivo Morón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 2. Masuero A. (C) 6. Aguirre C. 3. Gamarra G. 4. Sangiovani R. 7. Lovazzano L. 5. Pereyra N. 8. Sproat M. 10. Benitez F. 9. Nouet M. 11. Castillo L.	1. Rojas J. (G) 2. Gomez A. 3. Henry N. 4. Arciero R. 6. Moreyra F. 5. Vitale J. 7. Berterame G. 8. Gonzalez G. 10. Garcia B. 11. Curruhinca A. 9. Romero M. S.
Substitutes
13. Heredia M. 17. Ledesma J. 20. Lopez B. 15. Luque M. 19. Martinez S. 18. Nouet F. 14. Palomeque A. 16. Patrizio T. 12. Rehak G. (G)	19. Badur M. 16. Bracamonte M. 17. Caceres P. 13. Lazza E. 14. Machuca B. 20. Olivares J. 12. Rufinetti A. 18. Sala S. G. 15. Ulibarri S.
Coaches
Brown J.	Diaz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Pereyra N. 🟨,
30', Berterame G. ↓, Sala S. G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
61', Romero M. S. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
61', Garcia B. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
65', Nouet M. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
65', Castillo L. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
71', Curruhinca A. ↓, Bracamonte M. ↑,
73', Sproat M. ↓, Luque M. ↑,
81', Benitez F. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.06.24	Brown de Adrogué - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
02.06.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Brown de Adrogué	3:1 ✺
26.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
20.05.24	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.06.24	Temperley - Deportivo Morón	3:0 ✺
02.06.24	Deportivo Morón - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Deportivo Morón - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.02.24	Deportivo Morón - Brown de Adrogué	3:0
04.03.22	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Morón	1:0
27.09.21	Deportivo Morón - Brown de Adrogué	0:2
16.05.21	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Morón	0:1
09.03.19	Deportivo Morón - Brown de Adrogué	0:1
03.02.18	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Morón	0:1
Argentinian Primera B
14.11.15	Deportivo Morón - Brown de Adrogué	1:2

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