Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Broggi J. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.7	2.75
	2.85	2.75	2.6
	2.95	2.75	2.65
	3.09	2.6	2.96
	3.19	2.58	2.87
	2.88	2.8	2.6
	2.95	2.62	2.75
	2.85	2.65	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.91)	2.68 ↓ (2.89)	2.75 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
31.2%

Draw
34.8%

Gimnasia y Tiro
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

31.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

31%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (G) 6. Arrechea N. 10. Benitez F. 5. Desio G. 3. Gamarra G. 2. Masuero A. (C) 11. Nouet F. 7. Patrizio T. 9. Pulicastro F. 4. Sangiovani R. 8. Sproat M.	1. Abadia F. (G) 5. Birge R. 10. Busse W. 7. Carrasco D. 8. Chaves A. 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 11. Heredia F. 6. Monti I. 2. Neira E. 9. Rojas F. 3. Sanabria I.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre C. 20. Buter L. 17. Castillo L. 16. Chavez F. 19. Lopez B. 15. Lovazzano L. 18. Nouet M. 14. Palomeque A. 12. Peralta A. (G)	15. Araujo A. 14. Chamorro R. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 19. Duarte B. 17. Esparza M. 20. Gordillo L. 18. Rocca J. 13. Tallura A. 16. Villarreal R.
Coaches
Brown J.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Heredia F. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
46', Chaves A. ↓, Gordillo L. ↑,
49', Sanabria I. 🟨,
55', Pulicastro F. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
58', 🟨,
64', Sproat M. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
72', Buter L. ↓, Nouet M. ↑,
73', Gordillo L. 🟨,
77', Buter L. 🟥,
80', Rojas F. ↓, Duarte B. ↑,
82', Birge R. 🟨,
88', Birge R. ↓, Esparza M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Brown de Adrogué is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gimnasia y Tiro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia y Tiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.24	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Colón	0:4 ✺
22.04.24	Almirante Brown - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Temperley	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWTT

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