Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Brown de Adrogué		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.2	5.25
				Watch
	1.67	3.15	5.82	Watch
	1.7	3	5.8
	1.68	3.13	5.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.92)	3.12 ↑ (3)	5.71 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
54.7%

Draw
29.3%

Sacachispas
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

30.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

29.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brown de Adrogué's performance.

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacachispas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brown de Adrogué that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+5%)

Brown de Adrogué - Sacachispas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Bogado J. 2. Lugarzo L. 6. Minnicelli A. 3. Guerrero B. 8. Enrique F. 5. Nizzo M. 10. Sproat M. 11. Lovazzano L. 7. Canete J. 9. Campana L.	1. Troncoso F. (G) 4. Cena S. 2. Ortiz H. 6. Barreto R. 3. Cruz A. 8. Romero K. 5. Priori R. 10. Visco A. 11. Barreiro E. 9. Brotzman S. 7. Martinez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Brotzman S. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
38', Brotzman S. 🟨,
41', Sproat M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Brotzman S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Visco A. 🟨,
62', 0 - 3, Lugarzo L. (Own goal),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19).

Recent matches Brown de Adrogué is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sacachispas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Brown de Adrogué is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
05.04.25	Deportivo Merlo - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Brown de Adrogué - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Villa San Carlos - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Acassuso - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLWT
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
08.04.25	Sacachispas - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Sacachispas - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Deportivo Flandria - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Sacachispas - Fénix	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.05.22	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:2

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