Match Info

Primera B - Round 11

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Brown de Adrogué		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.82	2.28	Watch
	3.39	2.82	2.3
	3.37	2.72	2.34	Watch
	3.2	2.7	2.3
	3.38	2.74	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.18)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)	2.3 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
27.6%

Draw
32.9%

Real Pilar
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

31.6%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

30.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Real Pilar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 4. Cesare L. 7. Galvan L. 6. Irusta L. 9. Meaurio N. 3. Ortiz A. 5. Robles E. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M. (C) 11. Visco A.	1. Perafan P. (G) 2. Abre F. 6. Achucarro D. 5. Basualdo N. 3. Cardozo Lacoste F. E. 8. Cesar J. 11. Crocco M. (C) 10. Garcia P. 4. Leguiza D. 7. Martinez F. 9. Moran J.
Substitutes
20. Baez B. 13. Cardozo D. 15. Castano A. 17. Gonzalez A. 16. Guayquinao B. 19. Padovani O. 18. Patrizio T. 14. Pieres M. 12. Wysocki M. (G)	16. Aguirre I. 17. Avalos 20. Blanco S. 13. Franco E. 14. Pansardi F. 18. Riquelme M. D. 15. Rojas M. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 19. Vergara D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Crocco M. ⚽,
22', Cardozo Lacoste F. E. 🟨,
39', Robles E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Galvan L. ↓, Baez B. ↑,
53', Achucarro D. 🟨,
54', Martinez F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
54', Crocco M. ↓, Blanco S. ↑,
61', Silva J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
61', Visco A. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,
65', Garcia P. ↓, Pansardi F. ↑,
71', Ortiz A. ↓, Cardozo D. ↑,
75', Moran J. 🟨,
76', Sproat M. ↓, Padovani O. ↑,
79', Cardozo Lacoste F. E. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
79', Moran J. ↓, Riquelme M. D. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Robles E. ⚽,
86', Meaurio N. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Brown de Adrogué has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Pilar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brown de Adrogué may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Pilar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
10.04.26	UAI Urquiza - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Brown de Adrogué - Arsenal Sarandí	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Argentino de Merlo - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLT
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
11.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Flandria - Real Pilar	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Real Pilar - Argentino de Quilmes	3:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.03.26	Banfield - Real Pilar	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera B
21.03.26	Defensores Unidos - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.08.25	Real Pilar - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
15.03.25	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	0:0

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