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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Merlo 31.2%
Draw 33.9%
Brown de Adrogué 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
33.1%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
33.7%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Deportivo Merlo - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 4. Aguerre F. 10. Benitez F. 11. Cabrera D. 2. Figueredo L. 7. Hernandez R. 3. Miguez L. 5. Ojeda G. 9. Sandoval I. 6. Sineiro C. 8. Vallejo L.
1. Giovini S. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 8. Castano A. 3. Guerrero B. 11. Lopez B. 9. Meaurio N. 10. Noble M. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. (C)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sandoval I. ↓, Gugenheim C. ↑,
62', Noble M. ↓, Cerulo M. ↑,
62', Meaurio N. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
66', Figueredo L. 🟨,
66', Paez A. M. ↓, Vallejo L. ↑,
73', Lopez B. 🟨,
73', Baldunciel L. ↓, Pieres M. ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Deportivo Merlo (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Brown de Adrogué has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Merlo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.5:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Dep. Merlo
41
11
15
15
39:54
-15
48
20
Brown Adrogue
41
9
16
16
25:38
-13
43
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Brown de Adrogué - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 32.63%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Figueroa T. (G) 
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