Match Info

Primera B - Round 9

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)


	Brown de Adrogué		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.82	2.72	Watch
	2.69	2.77	2.92
	2.73	2.63	2.88	Watch
	2.63	2.5	2.9
	2.63	2.67	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.68)	2.68 ↓ (2.88)	2.85 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
34.2%

Draw
33.9%

Villa Dálmine
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.8%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

33.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Aguirre C. 7. Bogado J. 6. Cardozo D. 3. Guerrero B. 9. Meaurio N. 2. Pieres M. 5. Robles E. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M. 11. Visco A.	1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 7. Brandan L. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 8. Garzino F. 3. Martinez D. 5. Nizzo M. 11. Ponzo T. 10. Prim S. 9. Torres G.
Substitutes
20. Baez B. 18. Carrizo F. 16. Castano A. 14. Cesare L. 13. Irusta L. 15. Ortiz A. 19. Padovani O. 17. Patrizio T. 12. Wysocki M. (G)	13. Amicone A. 15. Britos M. 16. Carlucci V. 12. Guerrero A. (G) 18. Morales M. 14. Nievas A. 20. Paez M. 17. Ramon E. 19. Schultz E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Agorreca N. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Torres G. ⚽,
29', Bogado J. ↓, Padovani O. ↑,
32', Pieres M. 🟨,
39', 0 - 3, Torres G. ⚽,
42', Padovani O. 🟨,
43', Pieres M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 3, Cardozo D. ⚽,
51', 1 - 4, Ponzo T. ⚽,
59', Torres G. 🟨,
59', Torres G. ↓, Paez M. ↑,
59', Meaurio N. ↓, Baez B. ↑,
59', Silva J. ↓, Castano A. ↑,
64', Paez M. 🟨,
70', Garzino F. ↓, Carlucci V. ↑,
70', Prim S. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
71', Robles E. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
77', Aguirre C. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
80', Castano A. 🟨,
83', Nizzo M. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
83', Brandan L. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
89', Cesare L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 4.

In recent matches, Brown de Adrogué has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villa Dálmine is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Brown de Adrogué has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38:23	15	64
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

Brown de Adrogué - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.12%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
28.03.26	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Brown de Adrogué - Arsenal Sarandí	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Argentino de Merlo - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Ituzaingó - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWT
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
28.03.26	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Armenio	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Flandria - Villa Dálmine	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Villa Dálmine - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Villa Dálmine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.11.25	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
07.06.25	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	4:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1
15.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0
01.10.22	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1
15.08.21	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
04.04.21	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0

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