Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 28

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Broń Radom		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	1.95
	5	4	1.53
	5.56	4.15	1.5
	4.52	4.14	1.6	Watch
	4.22	4.22	1.62	Watch
	5	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3)	4.02 ↑ (4)	1.62 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
20.3%

Draw
22.9%

Unia Skierniewice
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

22.8%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

22%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Broń Radom's form might have worsened.

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Skierniewice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Broń Radom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Skierniewice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Broń Radom - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Makuch D. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Sabillo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 3, Sabillo K. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Broń Radom won 2.

Recent performances by Broń Radom have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unia Skierniewice is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).

Recently, Unia Skierniewice had a set of home games.

Unia Skierniewice will have a small advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20 (average 1.1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams, Broń Radom won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.04.25	ŁKS Łomża - Broń Radom	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Victoria Sulejówek - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Broń Radom - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWT
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	5:0 ✺
04.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Unia Skierniewice	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	2:1
03.05.24	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	3:1
06.10.23	Broń Radom - Unia Skierniewice	0:1
20.05.23	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	0:1
16.10.22	Broń Radom - Unia Skierniewice	3:2
14.05.22	Broń Radom - Unia Skierniewice	0:4
13.10.21	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	1:0

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