Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Unia Skierniewice		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.1
	1.38	4.6	6.4
	1.37	4.77	6.76	Watch
	1.35	4.65	6.99
	1.38	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.6)	4.56 ↑ (4.35)	6.13 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
65%

Draw
20.1%

GKS Bełchatów
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

21%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

20.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unia Skierniewice's performance.

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Bełchatów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unia Skierniewice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Bełchatów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Czarnecki J. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
36', 3 - 0, Sabillo K. ⚽,
45', 4 - 0, Sabillo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 5 - 0, Sabillo K. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Unia Skierniewice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unia Skierniewice is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Unia Skierniewice won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Unia Skierniewice won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Unia Skierniewice	0:4 ✺
21.03.25	Unia Skierniewice - Victoria Sulejówek	5:0 ✺
16.03.25	Wisła Płock II - Unia Skierniewice	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Unia Skierniewice - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.04.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	2:4 ✺
29.03.25	ŁKS Łomża - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	GKS Bełchatów - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - GKS Bełchatów	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wigry Suwałki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.09.24	GKS Bełchatów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2
05.04.24	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	3:2
09.09.23	GKS Bełchatów - Unia Skierniewice	1:1

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