Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Broń Radom

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.25
	1.82	3.75	3.4
	1.85	3.74	3.44	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)	3.67 ↓ (3.78)	3.37 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
48.8%

Draw
24.5%

Broń Radom
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.4%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świt won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Świt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Świt might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Świt won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	5:1 ✺
20.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLW
- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Broń Radom - Znicz Biała Piska	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Broń Radom - Wigry Suwałki	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	ŁKS Łomża - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.03.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	2:2
30.08.24	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1
20.04.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	0:0
22.09.23	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0
25.03.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	3:2
20.08.22	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:4
04.06.22	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1

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