Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Broń Radom		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.35
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.11	3.4	3.41
	2.22	3.68	2.74	Watch
	2.09	3.58	3.01	Watch
	2.4	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.33)	3.54 ↑ (3.41)	2.85 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
41.6%

Draw
26.1%

Wigry Suwałki
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Broń Radom - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Broń Radom has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wigry is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Wigry has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Broń Radom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.08.25	ŁKS Łomża - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Broń Radom - Widzew Łódź II	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Wikielec - Broń Radom	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Broń Radom - Wisła Płock II	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	GKS Bełchatów - Broń Radom	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTLT
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
27.08.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Wigry Suwałki	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Widzew Łódź II	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.06.25	Wigry Suwałki - Broń Radom	2:1
15.11.24	Broń Radom - Wigry Suwałki	0:0

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