Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Wisła Płock II

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.35	3.2
	2	3.65	3.14	Watch
	1.92	3.3	3.05
	2.06	4.18	3.09	Watch
	1.65	3.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.52)	3.67 ↓ (3.95)	3.36 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
47.8%

Draw
25%

Wisła Płock II
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigry Suwałki's form might have worsened.

Wisła Płock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigry Suwałki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Magnuszewski K. 🟥,
68', 1 - 0, Bajdur M. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd and 5th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Wisła Płock II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wigry holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Wigry has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wigry against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22
6	Plock II	11	5	3	3	22:18	4	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Widzew Łódź II	6:3 ✺
12.09.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTLL
- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.09.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łódź II	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wisła Płock II	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Wisła Płock II - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Wigry Suwałki	2:2
30.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	3:2
27.04.25	Wisła Płock II - Wigry Suwałki	2:1
29.09.24	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	2:0

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