Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Broń Radom		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.97	3.54	3.12
	1.99	3.68	3.13	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.59	2.95	Watch
	2.21	3.52	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.21)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)	2.99 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
43.8%

Draw
25.9%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.1%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

23.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Paszkiel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Świt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Broń Radom won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20

Last Results with these Odds

Broń Radom - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.03%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.83%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.04.26	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Wigry Suwałki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Broń Radom - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2
29.03.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	2:2
30.08.24	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1
20.04.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	0:0
22.09.23	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0
25.03.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	3:2
20.08.22	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:4

Upcoming Matches