Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 15Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Brusaporto |
|
Breno |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.25 |
3.35 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.48 |
3.27 |
|
 |
2.01 |
3.5 |
3.23 |
 Watch |
 |
2 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.58 |
3.79 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.5 |
3.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.23) |
3.4 ↓
(3.52) |
3.38 ↑
(2.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brusaporto
46.3% | Draw
26.8% | Breno
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusaporto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brusaporto's performance.Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Breno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusaporto than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Brusaporto - Breno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Franchini F. ⚽,
- 5', 2 - 0, Siani G. ⚽,
- 14', 2 - 1, Bigolin C. ⚽,
- 22', 3 - 1, Moraschi L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusaporto won 3.Brusaporto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Breno's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brusaporto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Brusaporto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Brusaporto - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group B | | | 26.02.23 | Brusaporto - Breno | 0:1 | | 23.10.22 | Breno - Brusaporto | 0:1 | | 27.02.22 | Brusaporto - Breno | 1:0 | | 20.10.21 | Breno - Brusaporto | 1:3 | | 16.05.21 | Brusaporto - Breno | 2:2 | | 30.01.21 | Breno - Brusaporto | 1:2 |
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