Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Brusaporto		Nibbiano Valtidone

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.95	2.25
	2.99	3.07	2.31	Watch
	2.97	2.99	2.28
	2.93	2.94	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)	2.99 ↑ (2.94)	2.28 (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusaporto
30.5%

Draw
30.1%

Nibbiano Valtidone
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

30.6%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Brusaporto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nibbiano Valtidone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusaporto than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nibbiano Valtidone than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Brusaporto - Nibbiano Valtidone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion).

In recent outings, Brusaporto has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nibbiano Valtidone shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nibbiano Valtidone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Nibbiano Valtidone has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nibbiano & Valtidone	9	8	0	1	13:3	10	24
14	Brusaporto	9	3	0	6	7:12	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Brusaporto - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 30.47%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Brusaporto
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.10.26	Scanzorosciate - Brusaporto	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Brusaporto - Chievo	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.10.26	Brusaporto - Pro Palazzolo	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Brusaporto - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWW
- ASD Nibbiano Valtidone
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.10.26	Nibbiano Valtidone - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	4:1 ✺
04.10.26	Caldiero Terme - Nibbiano Valtidone	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Nibbiano Valtidone - Chievo	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Nibbiano Valtidone - Scanzorosciate	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Nibbiano Valtidone - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW

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