The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bucaspor 1928 21.5%
Draw 23.8%
Erbaaspor 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
26.8%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
23.4%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bucaspor 1928 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bucaspor 1928's form might have worsened.
Erbaaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erbaaspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucaspor 1928 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bucaspor 1928, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erbaaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bucaspor 1928 - Erbaaspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Balci O. ⚽, Sener C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, Orer B. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
Bucaspor 1928 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Erbaaspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Erbaaspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bucaspor 1928 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2.7:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Bucaspor 1928 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.