Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 23

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Karaman Belediyespor		Erbaaspor

	1	X	2
	9.2	5.7	1.18
	10.6	6.2	1.18
	9.9	5.71	1.23	Watch
	10	5.75	1.2
	9.8	6.05	1.2
	11	5.75	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.08 ↑ (2.96)	5.86 ↑ (3.27)	1.2 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karaman Belediyespor
9%

Draw
15.4%

Erbaaspor
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.1%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

25.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karaman Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karaman Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Erbaaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erbaaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karaman Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+25.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karaman Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (-38.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erbaaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karaman Belediyespor - Erbaaspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erbaaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Sun A. ⚽, Yilmaz A. (A),
70', 1 - 1, Akpinar H. ⚽, Koyuncu F. (A),
76', 2 - 1, Gumus A. ⚽, Koyuncu F. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Karaman has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Erbaaspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Erbaaspor is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karaman won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karaman won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	13:12	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Erbaaspor - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karaman Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
24.01.26	İnegölspor - Karaman Belediyespor	6:1 ✺
18.01.26	Karaman Belediyespor - Kepez Belediyesi	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	Bucaspor 1928 - Karaman Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
28.12.25	Beykoz Anadolu - Karaman Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Ankaraspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLT
- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
24.01.26	Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Batman Petrolspor - Erbaaspor	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Erbaaspor - Altınordu	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Erbaaspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ankaragücü - Erbaaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
13.09.25	Erbaaspor - Karaman Belediyespor	2:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.02.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	0:0
29.09.24	Erbaaspor - Karaman Belediyespor	0:4
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
01.05.22	Karaman Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	1:0
12.12.21	Erbaaspor - Karaman Belediyespor	2:0

Karaman Belediyespor - Erbaaspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide