Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Bucaspor 1928		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.5	3.13	2.84
	2.45	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.42	3.04	2.73
	2.55	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.85)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.78 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucaspor 1928
36.8%

Draw
30.2%

Vanspor
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

29.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

28.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucaspor 1928 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bucaspor 1928's form might have worsened.

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vanspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucaspor 1928 than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bucaspor 1928, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vanspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bucaspor 1928 - Vanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 1 - 0, Oztekin Y. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Akcan E. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Bavuk F. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 3, Bilal H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 3, Caliskan N. ⚽,
89', 2 - 4, Kavaklidere H. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 8).

Bucaspor 1928 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Vanspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bucaspor 1928 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bucaspor 1928 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucaspor 1928
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.11.24	Nazillispor - Bucaspor 1928	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Bucaspor 1928	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWT
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.11.24	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Vanspor	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Vanspor - Somaspor	3:1 ✺
26.10.24	Ankara Demirspor - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Vanspor - Erbaaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
14.01.24	Vanspor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0
27.08.23	Bucaspor 1928 - Vanspor	0:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
07.05.23	Vanspor - Bucaspor 1928	0:1
03.12.22	Bucaspor 1928 - Vanspor	0:1

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