Match Info

1. Lig - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ataturk City Stadium (Van)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Vanspor		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.21
	2.13	3.5	3.41
	1.89	3.81	3.50	Watch
	1.95	3.32	3.51
	2.05	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.89)	3.47 ↓ (3.81)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
45.8%

Draw
26.6%

Serik Belediyespor
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

24.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Akbaba C. (G) 65. Bingol M. (C) 4. Dikmen E. 6. Jevsenak Z. 11. Xesc 44. Secgin E. 10. Jefferson 17. Manis M. 8. Traore A. 19. Bikoue 7. Vlachomitros A.	34. Ersu E. (G) 4. Martynov A. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 35. Isciler B. 22. Ceylan B. 8. Silva M. 16. Sen K. 3. Terzi E. 10. Amaral J. 7. Berkovsky I. 70. Ozcan S.
Substitutes
45. Bars E. 18. Bilal H. 53. Cavusoglu M. 1. Damlu A. (G) 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 9. Kor B. 40. Lucas Africo 98. Tumen S. 77. Usta G. 82. Yildrim A.	33. Akkan G. 79. Altiparmak G. 19. Cetin S. 23. Gunes E. (G) 11. Karadeniz G. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 2. Tashkyn S. 17. Yukseloglu H.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Sinan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Gotsuk K. 🟨,
23', Ceylan B. 🟨,
25', Bingol M. 🟨,
25', Kutlu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Berkovsky I. ⚽,
53', Traore A. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
56', Dikmen E. 🟨,
66', Martynov A. 🟨,
67', Ozcan S. ↓, Altiparmak G. ↑,
71', Dikmen E. ↓, Cavusoglu M. ↑,
72', Manis M. ↓, Kor B. ↑,
77', Vlachomitros A. ↓, Bilal H. ↑,
83', Amaral J. ↓, Karadeniz G. ↑,
83', Sen K. ↓, Cetin S. ↑,
90+3', Berkovsky I. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 2.

Vanspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Serik Belediyespor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Vanspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vanspor: Coksu M. (Inactive) Genc F. C. (Suspended) Kesici T. (Inactive) Olmez S. (Inactive) Oulare N. (Yellow Cards) Ozcan M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B. (Suspended) Celenk E. (Suspended) Dilli S. (Suspended) Kok D. (Inactive) Tunali M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Serik Belediyespor: Yucedag E. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vanspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
23.11.25	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Sarıyer - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vanspor - Sakaryaspor	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Fatsa Belediyespor - Vanspor	3:4 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Adana Demirspor - Vanspor	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWWW
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
24.11.25	Serik Belediyespor - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Serik Belediyespor - Adana Demirspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Aliaga - Serik Belediyespor	4:3 ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Pendikspor - Serik Belediyespor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
26.03.25	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	6:2
17.11.24	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.24	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:1
10.09.23	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	0:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
23.04.23	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2
20.11.22	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	2:4
19.02.22	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:2

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