Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Bayern - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Buchbach		Memmingen

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.45	3.5	2.6
	2.59	3.6	2.59
	2.59	3.41	2.59
	2.51	3.48	2.53
	2.45	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (1.97)	3.43 ↓ (3.7)	2.56 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buchbach
37%

Draw
26.9%

Memmingen
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buchbach's form might have worsened.

Memmingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memmingen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buchbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memmingen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Memmingen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buchbach - Memmingen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Mulas T. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Walter P. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Mulas T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 2, Ammari S. ⚽,
71', 3 - 2, Sztaf T. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buchbach won 2.

Recent matches Buchbach is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Memmingen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Buchbach will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Buchbach won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Buchbach won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
13.04.24	Vilzing - Buchbach	3:1 ✺
05.04.24	Buchbach - Schalding-Heining	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Bayreuth - Buchbach	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Buchbach - Nürnberg II	1:3 ✺
15.03.24	Würzburger Kickers - Buchbach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36 LTWLT
- FC Memmingen
German Regionalliga Bayern
12.04.24	Memmingen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Ansbach - Memmingen	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Memmingen - Aubstadt	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Illertissen - Memmingen	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Memmingen - Bayern Munich II	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
03.10.23	Memmingen - Buchbach	3:2
08.04.22	Buchbach - Memmingen	1:1
10.09.21	Memmingen - Buchbach	0:1
18.10.19	Memmingen - Buchbach	1:1
01.12.18	Buchbach - Memmingen	1:0
03.08.18	Memmingen - Buchbach	1:0
27.04.18	Memmingen - Buchbach	1:1

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