Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 15

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Buchbach		Nürnberg II

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.8	2.15
	3.06	3.9	2.13
	2.56	3.79	2.28	Watch
	2.81	3.7	2.12
	2.71	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.56)	3.79 (3.79)	2.19 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buchbach
33.2%

Draw
24.4%

Nürnberg II
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

24.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

23.5%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Nürnberg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Buchbach - Nürnberg II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buchbach (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Hess T. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Ammari S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 2, Scobel P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 2.

Recent form of Buchbach has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nürnberg II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nürnberg II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nürnberg II has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:39. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Buchbach won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.6:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg II - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.13%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
18.10.25	Augsburg II - Buchbach	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Buchbach - Vilzing	1:4 ✺
04.10.25	Illertissen - Buchbach	4:1 ✺
26.09.25	Buchbach - Aubstadt	2:4 ✺
23.09.25	Ansbach - Buchbach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
18.10.25	Nürnberg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	5:2 ✺
04.10.25	Nürnberg II - Eichstätt	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	2:5 ✺
23.09.25	Greuther Fürth II - Nürnberg II	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
29.03.25	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	1:2
21.09.24	Buchbach - Nürnberg II	0:0
22.03.24	Buchbach - Nürnberg II	1:3
09.09.23	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	4:2
14.04.23	Buchbach - Nürnberg II	4:3
24.09.22	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	4:0
06.03.22	Nürnberg II - Buchbach	1:0

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