Match Info

K League 2 - Round 20

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Bucheon		Gimpo

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	1.98	3.2	3.65
	2.04	3.26	4.04
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	1.98	3.3	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.13)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	3.67 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
46%

Draw
28.9%

Gimpo
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Gimpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimpo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Bucheon - Gimpo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucheon (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gimpo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Gimpo (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gimpo (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bucheon will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucheon (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Gimpo (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Hyung-Keun (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 5. Lee S. 29. Baek Dong-Gyu 7. Thiaguinho Santos 23. Takahashi K. 16. Park Hyun-Bin 27. Jang Si-Young 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 99. Gong Min-Hyun 41. Galego	31. Son Jeong-Hyeon (G) 97. Kim Dong-Min 77. Chapman C. 5. Lee Chan-hyung 7. Lee Sang-Min 8. Djalma 99. Kim Gyeol 23. Choi Jae-Hun (C) 11. Yoon Jae-Woon 25. Woo-bin J 17. Jegal Jae-Min
Substitutes
14. Choi Jae-Young 24. Kim Dong-Hyun 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 17. Kim Kyu-Min 15. Lee J. 9. Montano J. 11. Park Chang-Jun	72. Cheon Ji-Hyeon 6. Kim Ji-Hun 29. Kim Min-Woo 24. Mina L. 50. Park Dong-Jin 3. Park Kyung-Rok 21. Yoon Bo-Sang (G)
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Ko Jeong-un

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Chapman C. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Bassani ⚽, Park Hyun-Bin (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Djalma ↓, Kim Min-Woo ↑,
46', Jung Woo-Bin ↓, Mina L. ↑,
46', Kim Gyeol ↓, Park Dong-Jin ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Chapman C. ⚽,
58', Gong Min-Hyun ↓, Choi Jae-Young ↑,
58', Baek Dong-Gyu ↓, Montano J. ↑,
66', Jang Si-Young ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
78', Park Chang-Jun 🟨,
79', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Cheon Ji-Hyeon ↑,
90+3', Rodrigo Bassani ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,
90+3', Thiaguinho Santos ↓, Kim Kyu-Min ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 5.

Bucheon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Gimpo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gimpo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gimpo has had a series of home games.

Bucheon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 2
06.07.25	Hwaseong - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
02.07.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
28.06.25	Bucheon - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Ansan Greeners - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Bucheon - Seoul E-Land	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- Gimpo FC
South Korean K-League 2
06.07.25	Gimpo - Busan I Park	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
02.07.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
29.06.25	Gimpo - Incheon United	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimpo	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Gimpo - Gyeongnam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
02.07.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	1:3
South Korean K-League 2
06.04.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	1:2
22.09.24	Bucheon - Gimpo	2:0
14.07.24	Bucheon - Gimpo	1:0
04.05.24	Gimpo - Bucheon	0:1
17.09.23	Bucheon - Gimpo	0:0
29.05.23	Bucheon - Gimpo	2:0

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