Match Info

K League 2 - Round 27

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Gimpo Salter Soccer Field (Gimpo)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Gimpo		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.40	3.20	2.55
	2.55	3.15	2.55
	2.75	3.45	2.83
	2.52	3.28	2.77	Watch
	2.7	3	2.8
	2.6	3.33	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.26)	3.23 ↓ (3.48)	2.64 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimpo
36.1%

Draw
28.8%

Busan I Park
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

25.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimpo's form might have worsened.

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimpo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gimpo - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gimpo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Busan I Park will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Son Jeong-Hyeon (G) 47. Kim Dong-Min 4. Kim Tae-Han 15. Lee In-Jae 13. Park Sang-hyoun 14. Lee Hak-Min 23. Kim M. 7. Kim Do-Hyeok (C) 11. Lee Si-Heon 50. Park Dong-Jin 20. Kim Min-Seog	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 3. Cho Dong-Jae 10. Gabriel Honorio 88. Park Hye-seong 7. Xavier 47. Son Hwi 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 18. Baek Ga-On
Substitutes
8. Djalma 32. Jang Bu-seong 18. Kim Jun-seo 16. Kim Sung-Joon 1. Lee Sang-min (G) 44. Lee Yong-Hyeok 17. Lim C. 3. Park Kyung-Rok 96. Paulo Henrique	2. Akhadov O. 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 4. Kim J. 66. Kim Se-Hoon 55. Kwon Jun-seong 6. Lee Dong-Su 42. Lee H. 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J.
Coaches
Ko Jeong-woon	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Park Sang-hyoun 🟨,
26', Jang Ho-Ik 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Lee Si-Heon ⚽, Park Sang-hyoun (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Park Sang-hyoun ↓, Kim Sung-Joon ↑,
46', Cho Dong-Jae ↓, Jeon Seung-Jin ↑,
46', Son Hwi ↓, Kim Se-Hoon ↑,
46', Xavier ↓, Son J. ↑,
68', Kim Min-Seog ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
68', Baek Ga-On ↓, Kim J. ↑,
68', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Lee Dong-Su ↑,
75', Kim Do-Hyeok ↓, Djalma ↑,
83', Lee In-Jae ↓, Lee Yong-Hyeok ↑,
84', Kim M. ↓, Jang Bu-seong ↑,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th and 6th in the Promotion ~ K League 2 Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimpo won 1.

In recent outings, Gimpo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Busan I Park has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Gimpo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Gimpo has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:15 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gimpo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
7	Gimpo FC	25	8	11	6	31:30	1	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimpo FC
South Korean K-League 2
13.09.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimpo	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Gimpo - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gimpo - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Gimpo - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
16.08.26	Gimpo - Cheonan City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWT
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
13.09.26	Busan I Park - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Busan I Park - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Suwon - Busan I Park	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Daegu - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Busan I Park - Bucheon	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
12.07.26	Busan I Park - Gimpo	2:0
25.10.25	Busan I Park - Gimpo	4:1
06.07.25	Gimpo - Busan I Park	3:0
22.02.25	Busan I Park - Gimpo	0:0
24.08.24	Busan I Park - Gimpo	0:0
23.06.24	Gimpo - Busan I Park	1:0
17.03.24	Busan I Park - Gimpo	0:1

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