Match Info

K League 2 - Round 19

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Hwaseong		Bucheon

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.75	Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.87
	4.34	3.41	1.75
	4.7	3.7	1.79
				Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	4.32	3.42	1.79	Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.47)	3.38 ↑ (3.38)	1.84 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
22.4%

Draw
27.3%

Bucheon
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27.7%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

26.5%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Hwaseong - Bucheon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bucheon will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bucheon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 44. Ham Sun-Woo 15. Vojnovic A. 4. Yeon Jei-Min 47. Park Jae-Seong 6. Choi Jun-Hyeok (C) 8. Jeon S. 2. Kim D. 11. Yeo Hong-Gyu 9. Park Ju-yeong	1. Kim Hyung-Keun (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 29. Baek Dong-Gyu 20. Hong Sung-Wook 7. Thiaguinho Santos 4. Choe Won-Cheol 16. Park Hyun-Bin 27. Jang Si-Young 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 9. Montano J. 11. Park Chang-Jun
Substitutes
27. Baek Seung-Woo 16. Choi Myung-Hee 41. Kim Byung-Oh 13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 17. Lim C. 10. Luan Costa 5. Woo J.	14. Choi Jae-Young 41. Galego 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 17. Kim Kyu-Min 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 5. Lee S. 23. Takahashi K.
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Lee Young-Min

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Hong Sung-Wook 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Park Jae-Seong ↓, Choi Myung-Hee ↑,
54', Yeon Jei-Min ↓, Lim C. ↑,
59', Jang Si-Young ↓, Galego ↑,
60', Yeo Hong-Gyu ↓, Kim Byung-Oh ↑,
60', Park Ju-yeong ↓, Luan Costa ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Ham Sun-Woo (Own goal),
64', Choe Won-Cheol ↓, Lee Eui-Hyeong ↑,
64', Montano J. ↓, Takahashi K. ↑,
72', Choi Jun-Hyeok ↓, Baek Seung-Woo ↑,
75', Hong Sung-Wook ↓, Lee S. ↑,
75', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Kim Kyu-Min ↑,
90', Jeong Ho-Jin 🟨,
90+5', Rodrigo Bassani 🟨,
90+7', Lee Eui-Hyeong 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent performances by Hwaseong have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bucheon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hwaseong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bucheon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
28.06.25	Hwaseong - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Incheon United - Hwaseong	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Gyeongnam - Hwaseong	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWL
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean Cup
02.07.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
28.06.25	Bucheon - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Ansan Greeners - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Bucheon - Seoul E-Land	3:1 ✺
08.06.25	Incheon United - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
17.05.25	Bucheon - Hwaseong	1:0

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